The article evaluates the S&P 500’s trajectory using Economic Wave Theory, predicting a near-term peak coinciding with the 18-month cycle’s culmination. The analysis highlights key cyclical phases, risks from a bearish rising wedge pattern, and an impending correction, suggesting a structural decline until year-end, followed by recovery early next year.
CVC accurately predicted the rise of Gold prices post-2015 using the Kuznets’ Swing within Economic Wave Theory. This forecast was confirmed as Gold’s trajectory mirrored past cycles closely. Looking ahead, CVC forecasts a similar decline in the US Dollar amid rising precious metals, anticipating significant market shifts peaking around 2032.
The article discusses Hurst’s Principle of Commonality, which asserts that the cyclical behavior of disparate financial instruments is synchronized globally. It highlights the significance of this principle in analyzing market patterns, varying only due to fundamental factors. Empirical evidence supports its validity across various asset classes, enhancing predictive capabilities through Economic Wave Theory.
Figure 1 The correlation between advances in commodity prices, particularly gold, and the incidence of warfare is widely acknowledged within analytical circles. Examination of continuous commodity price indices, such as the one presented in Figure 1, since 1750 AD, reveals a significant historical relationship. The index’s initial data point, near the commencement of the American…
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Introduction Building on our previous outline of Economic Wave Theory (EWT), this report situates the current economic environment within its global cycles, illustrating them through historical analogues. The phases of these waves exhibit remarkable synchronicity across most economies. The Kuznets Economic Wave The most recent Kuznets trough occurred between March and June 2020, placing the…
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A Synthesis of Ten Years of Research on Economic Cycles Following a decade of research into economic cycles, Cyclic Vibrations Consultancy (CVC), under the leadership of Ahmed Farghaly, developed the Economic Wave Theory. This theory proposes to explain price behavior based on repetitive economic cycles. To develop a cyclic model that builds upon the work…
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