The video “The Market Cycle Update” discusses prevailing trends in major asset classes including the S&P 500, US Dollar, Gold, CRB Index, and Bitcoin. It forecasts significant sell-offs in equities and Bitcoin before expected troughs, bullish outlooks for Gold and commodities, and rising interest rates for the foreseeable future.
The analysis focuses on the Economic Wave Theory, emphasizing its predictive capacity for macro-economic cycles, particularly using inflation-adjusted charts. It highlights significant economic phases from 1949, forecasts upcoming economic turning points, and warns of an imminent market crash. Overall, it underscores the necessity of integrating various analytical methods for accurate predictions.
The analysis connects the Kuznets and Kondratieff cycles to commodity price trends, predicting a significant price rise in 2026, indicating potential global conflict. The 18-year pattern anticipates a 26-month upswing, but a market peak is likely in 2027, with geopolitical tensions easing and price troughs expected in early 2029.
CVC’s analysis of the S&P 500 index emphasizes the principle of Commonality and Hurst cycles, forecasting an 18-month correction without catastrophic crashes. The current market is seen as a topping pattern, prompting a sell signal. Investors should consider put options for insurance during the anticipated correction phase.
The article evaluates the S&P 500’s trajectory using Economic Wave Theory, predicting a near-term peak coinciding with the 18-month cycle’s culmination. The analysis highlights key cyclical phases, risks from a bearish rising wedge pattern, and an impending correction, suggesting a structural decline until year-end, followed by recovery early next year.
CVC accurately predicted the rise of Gold prices post-2015 using the Kuznets’ Swing within Economic Wave Theory. This forecast was confirmed as Gold’s trajectory mirrored past cycles closely. Looking ahead, CVC forecasts a similar decline in the US Dollar amid rising precious metals, anticipating significant market shifts peaking around 2032.
Figure 1 The correlation between advances in commodity prices, particularly gold, and the incidence of warfare is widely acknowledged within analytical circles. Examination of continuous commodity price indices, such as the one presented in Figure 1, since 1750 AD, reveals a significant historical relationship. The index’s initial data point, near the commencement of the American…
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