Figure 1 The correlation between advances in commodity prices, particularly gold, and the incidence of warfare is widely acknowledged within analytical circles. Examination of continuous commodity price indices, such as the one presented in Figure 1, since 1750 AD, reveals a significant historical relationship. The index’s initial data point, near the commencement of the American…
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Introduction Building on our previous outline of Economic Wave Theory (EWT), this report situates the current economic environment within its global cycles, illustrating them through historical analogues. The phases of these waves exhibit remarkable synchronicity across most economies. The Kuznets Economic Wave The most recent Kuznets trough occurred between March and June 2020, placing the…
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A Synthesis of Ten Years of Research on Economic Cycles Following a decade of research into economic cycles, Cyclic Vibrations Consultancy (CVC), under the leadership of Ahmed Farghaly, developed the Economic Wave Theory. This theory proposes to explain price behavior based on repetitive economic cycles. To develop a cyclic model that builds upon the work…
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CVC closely follows commodity prices, as their advance is often due to an increase in conflict and global warfare, which is something we are interested in predicting here at CVC. We have long held the view that commodities are likely to increase in the long term into the next decade, which translates to a troubled…
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Our introduction to the financial markets came through the foreign exchange market in 2008, following the price increase of the US Dollar as a result of the economic crisis. Everyone expected the price rise of the US Dollar to continue, as a result of an extreme sentiment typical near a significant price high. The volatility…
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In today’s article, we will present our software’s seven-year forecast for the prices of the German DAX, spanning from May 2013 to May 2020. This forecast is not a historical presentation of how our software would have performed, as we utilized part of this forecast back in 2017 to advise our clients on what was…
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The Formal Phasing Analysis (FPA) conducted on the US Dollar is challenging since we cannot rely on the principle of commonality to aid us in confirming the chosen cyclical troughs, given that it correlates negatively with most of the stable of instruments that we follow given that almost everything is priced in the US Dollar.…
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Our proprietary methodology can be successfully applied to any market with sufficient historical data to utilise a similar economic circumstance, such as that of a significant economic wave. In today’s article, we will view another example of this theory’s application on a foreign stock market — The Tadawul All Share Index of Saudi Arabia from…
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The Economic Wave Theory suggests that future price movements should be similar to past price movements if the economic environment is similar. We utilise economic waves to anticipate the future economic environment with very high accuracy. Once one determines the future economic climate, all one has to do is look for a similar economic environment…
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