The analysis focuses on the Economic Wave Theory, emphasizing its predictive capacity for macro-economic cycles, particularly using inflation-adjusted charts. It highlights significant economic phases from 1949, forecasts upcoming economic turning points, and warns of an imminent market crash. Overall, it underscores the necessity of integrating various analytical methods for accurate predictions.
The analysis connects the Kuznets and Kondratieff cycles to commodity price trends, predicting a significant price rise in 2026, indicating potential global conflict. The 18-year pattern anticipates a 26-month upswing, but a market peak is likely in 2027, with geopolitical tensions easing and price troughs expected in early 2029.
The article discusses Hurst’s Principle of Commonality, which asserts that the cyclical behavior of disparate financial instruments is synchronized globally. It highlights the significance of this principle in analyzing market patterns, varying only due to fundamental factors. Empirical evidence supports its validity across various asset classes, enhancing predictive capabilities through Economic Wave Theory.
Figure 1 The correlation between advances in commodity prices, particularly gold, and the incidence of warfare is widely acknowledged within analytical circles. Examination of continuous commodity price indices, such as the one presented in Figure 1, since 1750 AD, reveals a significant historical relationship. The index’s initial data point, near the commencement of the American…
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Introduction Building on our previous outline of Economic Wave Theory (EWT), this report situates the current economic environment within its global cycles, illustrating them through historical analogues. The phases of these waves exhibit remarkable synchronicity across most economies. The Kuznets Economic Wave The most recent Kuznets trough occurred between March and June 2020, placing the…
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A Synthesis of Ten Years of Research on Economic Cycles Following a decade of research into economic cycles, Cyclic Vibrations Consultancy (CVC), under the leadership of Ahmed Farghaly, developed the Economic Wave Theory. This theory proposes to explain price behavior based on repetitive economic cycles. To develop a cyclic model that builds upon the work…
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In today’s article, we will present our software’s seven-year forecast for the prices of the German DAX, spanning from May 2013 to May 2020. This forecast is not a historical presentation of how our software would have performed, as we utilized part of this forecast back in 2017 to advise our clients on what was…
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Our proprietary methodology can be successfully applied to any market with sufficient historical data to utilise a similar economic circumstance, such as that of a significant economic wave. In today’s article, we will view another example of this theory’s application on a foreign stock market — The Tadawul All Share Index of Saudi Arabia from…
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The Economic Wave Theory suggests that future price movements should be similar to past price movements if the economic environment is similar. We utilise economic waves to anticipate the future economic environment with very high accuracy. Once one determines the future economic climate, all one has to do is look for a similar economic environment…
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